Forum Kajian Pembangunan hosted by Bank Indonesia Institute

Please be on time as we start at 10am.

1) On Socio-Economic Predictors of Religious Intolerance: Evidence from a Large-Scale Longitudinal Survey in the Largest Muslim Democracy

Arief Anshory Yusuf (Department of Economics, Universitas Padjadjaran) dan Hariyadi (Departement of Sociology, Universitas Soedirman)

Motivated by increasing religious intolerance, we study the socio-economic covariates of individual-level religious intolerance in Indonesia, the largest Muslim democracy in the world. We use panel data from 2007 and 2014 of more than 20,000 adult individuals (representing 83% of the population) and apply fixed-effect regression analysis to identify relevant socio-economic characteristics that are highly associated with religious intolerance at the individual level. We utilize survey questions on willingness to accept someone with different faith living in the same village, living in the same neighborhood, renting a house, marrying relatives or children, and building a place of worship in the neighborhood as our measures of religious intolerance. We find that higher individual income and educational attainment are positively correlated with the tolerance level. At the same time, a higher level of self-declared religiosity is negatively correlated with a tolerant attitude. For location-specific characteristics, higher income inequality and extent of poverty in the location where an individual resides are associated with a higher level of religious intolerance. These patterns are generally robust across different measures of religious intolerance, although there is heterogeneity in the magnitudes of the correlations, where these covariates have the smallest correlations with the willingness to accept interfaith marriage in the family. This presentation is based on the paper published in the journal Religions volume 11(1) in 2020 (currently ungated).

2) Do Indonesian Toll Roads Create the "Radiator Springs" Phenomenon? A Look at Unintended Consequences of Road Infrastructure Projects

Martin Siyaranamual (Department of Economics, Universitas Padjadjaran)

This study investigates the extent to which the construction of toll roads affect local economic outcomes, using Cipularang and Cipali toll roads located on Java, Indonesia, as the case study. While previous studies have focused on toll road connection status and an area's economic performance before and after being connected to a toll road, this study focuses on how toll roads that connect two or more major cities create traffic diversion and their consequences. Some areas might experience the consequences of traffic diversion but not others. This unintended consequence is called the "Radiator Springs” effect, inspired by a fictional city from the movie Cars. Based on this argument, a difference-in-difference propensity score matching estimation is employed, with the treatment variables being villages that are located on the road that were used as the main road between two major cities, and their socio-economic performance before and after the toll road becomes operational. The results do not indicate significant negative effect of toll roads on number of local business establishments and other outcomes in treated villages vis-a-vis the control villages.

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FKP hosts for year 2020 is as follows. Please send an email to Forum.Kajian.Pembangunan@gmail.com if you would like the schedule to be sent directly to your inbox.

• March: WRI Indonesia dan SDGs Center Universitas Hasanuddin
• April: P2E LIPI
• May: LPEM FEB UI
• June: Innovation for Indonesia's School Children Program (INOVASI)
• July: Center for Indonesian Policy Studies (CIPS) and INSPIRASI Foundation
  
• August: Lembaga Demografi FEB UI
• September: Article 33 Indonesia and FEB Universitas Sriwijaya
  
• October: The SMERU Research Institute
• November: CEDS UNPAD
• December: Pusat Studi Hukum dan Kebijakan (PSHK)